Understand the risks

You can lose the full amount committed to a prediction-market position.

Market risk

Prices can move quickly when new information arrives. They reflect current trading, not a guaranteed probability or result.

Liquidity risk

There may not be enough liquidity to trade your full amount near the displayed price. That can increase slippage or stop the order from filling.

Resolution risk

A market follows its written rules and named source. The official result may differ from a casual reading of the question or from early reports.

Venue and network risk

Trading and settlement rely on external venues, networks, data providers, and wallet infrastructure. Outages, delayed confirmations, rejected transactions, and smart-contract failures can affect access to funds or positions.

Funding risk

Blockchain transfers are generally irreversible. Using the wrong network, asset, or address can permanently lose funds.

Account-security risk

Someone who gains enough access to your account or wallet credentials may be able to act as you. Phishing, malicious extensions, compromised email, and unsafe devices can bypass otherwise strong controls.

Your responsibility

Trade only markets whose rules you understand.
Review every quote and security confirmation.
Protect account and recovery credentials.
Verify asset, network, and address before transferring.
Keep records needed for your local tax and reporting obligations.
Use only funds you can afford to lose.